Who's gonna win this thing? Sizing up the contenders 1-8...
1.) Brazil (MooreSports chances: 40%)
Goals: 8
Goals Against: 2
MVP (so far) - Lucio
Case for...
They have the best back four plus goalie in the tournament. Maicon sizzled in a shot (or cross) to open up North Korea, while Lucio and Juan have held down Didier Drogba, Cristiano Ronaldo and Humberto Suazo. Up front, Luis Fabiano continues to be the most efficient national team striker in the world. He is not overloaded with chances, but he makes them count.
And against...
They have shown only glimpses of the champagne football that we expect out of the "Samba Kings". Where is the creativity in midfield? Kaka and Robinho need to play to their reputations because they don't have any help on the bench.
Verdict
They are still my pick to win. This team struggles unlocking defenses that sit back and soak up pressure since they don't have the magic of a Ronaldinho or the pace and power of a Ronaldo. To that end, Holland are a great matchup. The Dutch want to possess and attack, which is a game Brazil will happily play with anyone. If they make the Final, they'll hope for a similarly aggressive side like Argentina or Germany.
Two potential pitfalls: Uruguay and Spain. Like Portugal, Uruguay can park the buses in front of their own goal and hope for a piece of genius on the counterattack from Diego Forlan or Luis Suarez. Brazil have looked better than Spain, but the Spanish always win the possession battle, which will be an uncomfortable feeling for Dunga's side.
Pick: Winner
2.) Spain (MooreSports chances: 20%)
Goals: 5
Goals Against: 2
MVP (so far) - David Villa
Case for...
They have not hit peak form, but they are in a comfortable part of the draw. Gerard Pique has led a solid back four that's only given up goals on a keeper mistake and a deflected shot. Going forward, David Villa has been the best player in the tournament to this point.
And against...
Iker Casillas continues to be the most overrated goalie in the world. In a tournament plagued by goalkeeping errors, he could be their undoing. With the ball, they have no width. Andres Iniesta looks uncomfortable playing out of position on the left, while Sergio Ramos has been the only consistent contributor on the right pushing up from his fullback position. Fernando Torres should be a sub on this team.
Verdict
They should handle Paraguay, who will sit back like Portugal did. Then, they'll play the Germany/Argentina winner. If they fall behind in the semis, they could be in trouble because Villa is their only goal scoring threat right now. However, they can frustrate either team by controlling the ball, which will expose Germany and Argentina's tendency to waste chances. In a potential showdown Final, Brazil's efficiency will be the difference.
Pick: Runner-up
3.) Argentina (MooreSports Chances: 10%)
Goals: 10
Goals Against: 2
MVP (so far) - Lionel Messi
Case for...
They have been the most dynamic team in the tournament so far. The three-headed attack of Messi, Carlos Tevez and Gonzalo Higuain are the most potent strike force in the tournament. Yes, Messi has not scored, but he's put the ball on a tee for Higuain to net four times.
And against...
They have not been in a fight yet. They've stormed to early leads and celebrated easy victories, but that all ends with Germany. Diego Maradona will have to organize his squad to avoid the counterattacking gaps that exposed England against the young Germans. We will find out a lot more about their back five on Saturday.
Verdict
They can win this tournament. If the midfield can continue supplying the ball to Messi, he will carve out scoring chances against any defense. However, Argentina's lack of midfield talent will be exposed by Spain, who can cut off that supply line to Messi.
Pick: Semifinals
4.) Germany (MooreSports chances: 10%)
Goals: 9
Goals Against: 2
MVP (so far) - Mesut Ozil
Case for...
They have a roster loaded with explosive, young talent. When they get flying with Ozil, Thomas Mueller and Lucas Podolski, they look more Brazilian than Brazil. On the surprising side, no-name goalie Manuel Neuer was impressive against England.
And against...
Young teams are inconsistent. They've been outstanding in two games and average in two games. The Germans were undone by a card happy ref against Serbia and went unpunished by a more inspired Ghanaian side.
Verdict
Do they want this quarterfinal as much as Argentina? Maradona will have his unit ready to battle. While the Germans are usually described as ruthless, this squad is much prettier. They'll get a taste of their own blood and come back as Europe's best in 2014.
Pick: Quarterfinals
5.) Holland (MooreSports chances: 8%)
Goals: 7
Goals Against: 2
MVP (so far) - Wesley Sneijder
Case for...
Arjen Robben is back and looks healthy. He was the only missing ingredient from a workmanlike, but flare-less squad during the group stage. Like Brazil, they have taken a much more pragmatic approach to this tournament, subjugating beauty in favor of results.
And against...
Robin Van Persie is a weakness. If you get chances to punish Brazil, you have to take them and Van Persie is too wasteful to lead the line for a World Cup winner. In the back, they've been better than expected, but let's see how they handle Fabiano, Kaka and Robinho.
Verdict
They can beat Brazil. Sneijder and Robben will be the two most creative players on the field plus Dirk Kuyt is an exceptional big game player who will pounce on any defensive mistakes. They are one player away. If they had Ruud Van Nistelrooy in his prime, the Dutch would be favorites to make the Final, but they're short one goal poacher.
Pick: Quarterfinals
6.) Uruguay (MooreSports chances: 7%)
Goals: 6
Goals Against: 1
MVP (so far) - Diego Lugano
Case for...
They have given up just one goal in four games against credible attacking sides. When they want to sit back and soak up pressure, they can make the game pretty boring, but they always have the ability to punish opponents with Forlan and Suarez, who are both in peak form.
And against...
The road to the Final likely runs through Brazil. Will they be in awe of the kings of their continent or will they attack them like they have every other opponent in this Cup? They are a relentless, physical side, but they need to be the bully.
Verdict
They are a legitimate dark horse to win this thing. If the Netherlands knock out Brazil, I'd take Uruguay to the Final, but they'll be too intimidated to play their game against the world's best.
Pick: Semifinals
7.) Ghana (MooreSports chances: 2.5%)
Goals: 4
Goals Against: 3
MVP (so far) - Asamoah Gyan
Case for...
They have the momentum of a continent behind them, which seemed to freshen their legs in extra time against the United States. Athletically, they are probably the best team remaining. While soccer is a skill and endurance game, Gyan's speed and power was the difference on the game-winner.
And against...
They were lucky to make it out of the group phase. They have the skill to create chances, but only Gyan seems like a capable finisher. They can beat Uruguay, but they'll be outclassed by the Brazil/Holland winner.
Verdict
No African team has ever made it to a World Cup semi, so it would be fitting if Ghana accomplished the feat on African soil. While I could see the positive mojo carrying the day, I cannot pick an obviously weaker side.
Pick: Quarterfinals
8.) Paraguay (MooreSports chances: 2.5%)
Goals: 3
Goals Against: 1
MVP (so far) - Paulo Da Silva
Case for...
They have given up just one goal this tournament and frustrated talented teams like Italy, Slovakia and Japan. While they've gotten nothing out of their strikers, Roque Santa Cruz and Lucas Barrios are capable players.
And against...
They were given the easiest draw to get to this point. They have not scored in two games and they cannot expect to blank Spain.
Verdict
They'll lose a boring 1-0 game to Spain.
Pick: Quarterfinals
David Villa has been the star of the tournament, but will he get enough scoring help to beat the best?
